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WTUS81 KOKX 180349

HLSOKX

CTZ007>012-NYZ071-078>081-177-179-181200-



Hurricane Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 51

National Weather Service New York NY  AL122017

1149 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017



This product covers portions of Southeast New York, Northeast New 

Jersey, and Southern Connecticut



**Tropical Storm Watches Remain in Effect for Long Island, Southern

 Westchester, and Coastal and Southeast Connecticut**



NEW INFORMATION

---------------



* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - None



* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Northeastern Suffolk, 

      Northern Middlesex, Northern Nassau, Northern New London, 

      Northwestern Suffolk, Southeastern Suffolk, Southern Fairfield, 

      Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New Haven, 

      Southern New London, Southern Westchester, and Southwestern 

      Suffolk



* STORM INFORMATION:

    - About 610 miles south-southeast of New York City NY or about 

      610 miles south of Montauk Point NY

    - 32.2N 71.6W

    - Storm Intensity 90 mph

    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 9 mph



SITUATION OVERVIEW

------------------



Hurricane Jose will track northward through the western Atlantic 

waters through mid week, passing to the southeast of the area late 

Tuesday night into Wednesday. The hurricane will be close enough to to 

bring potential impacts of tropical storm force winds, coastal 

flooding, and heavy rainfall. The best chance for tropical storm force 

winds and heavy rain will be across eastern Long Island and southeast 

Connecticut. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is also expected, with 

widespread water levels of 1 to 2 feet and locally up to 3 feet above 

ground level possible. 



POTENTIAL IMPACTS

-----------------



* WIND:

Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across

eastern Long Island and southeast Connecticut. Potential impacts in 

this area include:

    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage 

      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings 

      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile 

      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight 

      objects become dangerous projectiles.

    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater 

      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several 

      fences and roadway signs blown over.

    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban 

      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access 

      routes impassable.

    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent 

      in areas with above ground lines.



Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across

western Long Island, southwest Connecticut, and southern Westchester. 



* SURGE:

Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts

across tidal portions of Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and

Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts in this area include:

    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along 

      immediate shorelines and in low lying spots, or in areas 

      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.

    - Sections of near shore roads and parking lots become overspread 

      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where 

      surge water covers the road.

    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly 

      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong and frequent rip 

      currents. 

    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, 

      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.



* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:

Jose will likely bring large waves, possibly close to 20 feet on the

coastal ocean waters south of Long Island, 9 to 12 feet on The Race and

Western Block Island Sound, and up to 8 feet on central Long Island

Sound. 



* FLOODING RAIN:

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall having possible limited impacts

across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern 

Connecticut. Potential impacts include:

    - Rivers and streams may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small

      streams and creeks could overflow in spots. 

    - Rapid ponding of water could occur in highly urbanized areas, at

      underpasses, and in low lying spots and poor drainage areas. 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS

----------------------------------



* PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:



Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary 

actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be 

underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your Emergency 

Supplies Kit is stocked and ready.



When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the 

exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties 

which must be taken into account.



If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind, 

such as a mobile home or on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take

enough supplies for you and your family for several days.



If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as 

near the ocean, in a low lying or poor drainage area, plan to move to 

safe shelter on higher ground. 



Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders 

that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives 

of others.



When securing your property, outside preparations should be conducted 

as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of 

strong gusty winds and heavy rain can cause certain preparedness 

activities to become unsafe.



Be sure to let friends and other family members know of your 

intentions and whereabouts for surviving the storm. For emergency 

purposes, have someone located away from the threatened area serve as 

your point of contact. Share vital contact information with others. 

Keep cell phones handy and well charged.



Be a Good Samaritan and check on those who may not be fully aware of 

the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations.



Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings. 

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are 

located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If 

staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite 

disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to 

area visitors.



Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for 

official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the 

forecast.



* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:

- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov

- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org

- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org



NEXT UPDATE

-----------



The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather 

Service in New York NY around 6 AM EDT. 



$$



