

939 

WWUS20 KWNS 131619

SEL6

SPC WW 131619

LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-140000-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 536

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1110 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA

  SOUTHEAST TEXAS

  COASTAL WATERS



* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1110 AM UNTIL

  700 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT

POLK LOUISIANA TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.  FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 534...WW 535...



DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER WW REGION THROUGH LATE

AFTN IN RESPONSE TO MODERATE SFC HEATING AND ASCENT ON SRN FRINGE OF

SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE OK SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AMPLE /40 + KT/ DEEP SHEAR

ALREADY IN PLACE FOR SUPERCELLS SHOULD SLIGHTLY STRENGTHEN AS TROUGH

CONTINUES EWD...WHILE RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE INFLOW CONTINUES AHEAD

OF SE TX SQLN. THE STORMS WILL THEREFORE POSE A RISK FOR DMGG

WIND...TORNADOES...AND POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. WHILE THE

STRONGEST UPDRAFTS SHOULD REMAIN WITHIN THE LINE...PERSISTENT

LOW-LVL CONFLUENCE AND CONSIDERABLE UPR-LVL DIFLUENCE IN

WEAKLY-CAPPED ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF IT SUGGEST GOOD LIKELIHOOD FOR

DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS E/SE OF THE LINE. THESE...TOO...MAY POSE A

RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND TORNADOES...AND COULD REQUIRE AN ADDITIONAL

WATCH FARTHER E LATER TODAY.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.





...CORFIDI



432 

WWUS20 KWNS 131619

SEL6

SPC WW 131619

LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-140000-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 536

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1110 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA

  SOUTHEAST TEXAS

  COASTAL WATERS



* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1110 AM UNTIL

  700 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT

POLK LOUISIANA TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.  FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 534...WW 535...



DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER WW REGION THROUGH LATE

AFTN IN RESPONSE TO MODERATE SFC HEATING AND ASCENT ON SRN FRINGE OF

SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE OK SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AMPLE /40 + KT/ DEEP SHEAR

ALREADY IN PLACE FOR SUPERCELLS SHOULD SLIGHTLY STRENGTHEN AS TROUGH

CONTINUES EWD...WHILE RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE INFLOW CONTINUES AHEAD

OF SE TX SQLN. THE STORMS WILL THEREFORE POSE A RISK FOR DMGG

WIND...TORNADOES...AND POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. WHILE THE

STRONGEST UPDRAFTS SHOULD REMAIN WITHIN THE LINE...PERSISTENT

LOW-LVL CONFLUENCE AND CONSIDERABLE UPR-LVL DIFLUENCE IN

WEAKLY-CAPPED ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF IT SUGGEST GOOD LIKELIHOOD FOR

DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS E/SE OF THE LINE. THESE...TOO...MAY POSE A

RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND TORNADOES...AND COULD REQUIRE AN ADDITIONAL

WATCH FARTHER E LATER TODAY.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.





...CORFIDI

