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187 

WWUS20 KWNS 011741

SEL0

SPC WW 011741

NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-020100-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 910

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

140 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2008



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF



       MUCH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

       PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA

       SMALL PART OF SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA

       COASTAL WATERS



EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 140 PM UNTIL

900 PM EDT.



HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70

MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55

STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST

OF ELIZABETH CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF

FAYETTEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE

WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND

INTENSITY AHEAD OF WEAK COLD FRONT CENTRAL VA/NC THAT IS MOVING

SLOWLY EWD. WITH APPROACH OF A VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH AND MLCAPES

FROM 1000-1500 J/KG...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY AS

FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE COAST WITH LARGE HAIL DAMAGING WINDS PRIMARY

THREAT...PARTICULARLY ASSOCIATED WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT IS ABLE TO

DEVELOP IN THE MDTLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 24030.





...HALES

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