

098 

WWUS20 KWNS 161010

SEL0

SPC WW 161010

FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-161600-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 740

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

505 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF



       FLORIDA PANHANDLE

       FAR SOUTHWEST GEORGIA

       COASTAL WATERS



EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 505 AM UNTIL 1100 AM EST.



TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

AREAS.



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE

MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST OF PANAMA CITY

FLORIDA TO 50 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA.  FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



DISCUSSION...QLCS OVER THE SHELF WATERS OF THE N-CNTRL GULF OF

MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEWD THIS MORNING...AFFECTING

PORTIONS OF THE FL PNHDL.  LATEST TRENDS IN AREA VWP DATA AND SHORT

TERM MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT LLJ WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERGO

MARKED INTENSIFICATION THROUGH MID MORNING...EFFECTIVELY ENHANCING

THE NWD FLUX OF AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER

ONSHORE.  GIVEN THE STRENGTHENING VERTICAL SHEAR...BOWING AND

SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN QLCS...WITH A THREAT

FOR DOWNSTREAM DEVELOPMENT OF MORE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS.  DAMAGING

WIND GUSTS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS ACTIVITY

PROGRESSES ACROSS WW AREA.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.





...MEAD

