

544 

WWUS20 KWNS 261833

SEL0

SPC WW 261833

CTZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-270000-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 300

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

230 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF



       WESTERN CONNECTICUT

       NORTHERN NEW JERSEY

       SOUTHEAST NEW YORK

       EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA

       COASTAL WATERS



EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL

800 PM EDT.



HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75

MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35

STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST OF

HARRISBURG PENNSYLVANIA TO 35 MILES EAST OF BRIDGEPORT

CONNECTICUT.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS SEWD INTO A WARM AND

STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS SITUATED FROM CNTRL AND ERN PA EAST ACROSS

THE NYC METROPOLITAN AREA. WHILE DEEP SHEAR IS WEAK AND SUGGESTS

POOR STORM ORGANIZATION...RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT

STORMS ARE QUITE ROBUST WITH ANVILS STREAMING WELL SOUTHEAST THE

HIGHER STORMS/STRONGER CELLS. MOST STORMS APPEAR TO COLLAPSE WITHIN

30-40 MINUTES OF INITIATION AND EXPECT THAT THIS PULSE AND

MULTICELLULAR ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF HAIL AND

HIGH WINDS...AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AS IT DEVELOPS SEWD

ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS.

A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION

VECTOR 33015.





...CARBIN

