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000 

WWUS20 KWNS 021436

SEL1

SPC WW 021436

CTZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-022200-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 791

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1035 AM EDT SAT AUG 2 2008



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF



       SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT

       DELAWARE

       EASTERN MARYLAND

       NEW JERSEY

       SOUTHEAST NEW YORK

       EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA

       COASTAL WATERS



EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1035 AM UNTIL

600 PM EDT.



HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70

MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH

NORTHWEST OF BRIDGEPORT CONNECTICUT TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST

OF DOVER DELAWARE.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



DISCUSSION...STORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH AND

STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY

THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON WHILE TRACKING EAST ACROSS PARTS OF

PA/DE/MD/NJ...SOUTHEAST NY AND LONG ISLAND AND SRN CT. ACTIVITY WILL

BE MOVING INTO INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS COINCIDENT

WITH STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW/SHEAR AND FORCING. BOWING SEGMENTS

WILL BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...SOME HAIL ALSO APPEARS POSSIBLE

AS FORCING AND INSTABILITY INCREASE INTO THE AFTERNOON.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 29030.





...CARBIN

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