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NMZ000-TXZ000-040500-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 391

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

430 PM MDT WED JUL 3 2013



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO

  FAR WEST TEXAS



* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 430 PM

  UNTIL 1100 PM MDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO

    2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF

LAS VEGAS NEW MEXICO TO 65 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DEMING NEW

MEXICO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED

WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO EVOLVE ACROSS A LARGE PORTION

OF NM...PARTICULARLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE WHERE THE

MOST FAVORABLE INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR ARE PRESENT.  LARGE HAIL

WILL REMAIN LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SUPERCELL STORMS...ALONG WITH SOME

POTENTIAL FOR AN INCREASE IN WIND THREAT GIVEN SOME POTENTIAL FOR

STORMS TO GROW UPSCALE OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 36025.





...GOSS

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