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WWUS20 KWNS 031816

SEL1

SPC WW 031816

ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-040200-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 51

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

115 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

  EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS

  SOUTHWEST MISSOURI

  EASTERN OKLAHOMA



* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 115 PM UNTIL

  900 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  NUMEROUS LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL

    EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 95 MILES NORTH OF SPRINGFIELD

MISSOURI TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA.  FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 49...WW 50...



DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM THIS AFTERNOON ALONG

A COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEAST KS INTO EASTERN

OK.  STRONG HEATING AHEAD OF THE FRONT...COUPLED WITH STRENGTHENING

LOW LEVEL WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING...WILL POSE A RISK OF

SUPERCELL STORMS.  VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH A

FEW TORNADOES.  IF DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAN BE MAINTAINED...STRONG

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.





...HART

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