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104 

WWUS20 KWNS 252019

SEL1

SPC WW 252019

KSZ000-MOZ000-260300-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 451

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

320 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS

  WEST-CENTRAL MISSOURI



* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL

  1000 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75

    MPH POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5

    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE



SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND TRACK

EAST THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. IMPETUS FOR

THIS DEVELOPMENT INCLUDES A VERY HOT AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS THAT LIES

ALONG AND SOUTH OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM THE KANSAS

CITY AREA WESTWARD ACROSS TOPEKA KANSAS AND INTO CENTRAL KANSAS.

MODEST SHEAR AND LIFT ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD SUPPORT AN INCREASE

IN STORMS WITH SOME SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS

POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING. DISCRETE STORMS TRACKING IMMEDIATELY ON

THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY AS THIS

CORRIDOR COULD SUPPORT A TORNADO OR TWO.



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45

STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHWEST

OF RUSSELL KANSAS TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF KANSAS CITY

MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 26015.





...CARBIN

