

158 

WWUS20 KWNS 241931

SEL2

SPC WW 241931

NMZ000-250300-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 182

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

130 PM MDT SAT MAY 24 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  EASTERN NEW MEXICO



* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL

  900 PM MDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS

    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF

RATON NEW MEXICO TO 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROSWELL NEW MEXICO.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 181...



DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER ERN NM THIS

AFTN AND EVE AS SFC HEATING AND ASCENT WITH VORT LOBE ROTATING

AROUND AZ UPR LOW FURTHER DESTABILIZE REGION. ASSOCIATED

STRENGTHENING OF DEEP SHEAR SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS

WITH LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND...WITH THE ACTIVITY LIKELY

MERGING INTO BROKEN SSW-NNE BANDS.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 21030.





...CORFIDI



995 

WWUS20 KWNS 241931

SEL2

SPC WW 241931

NMZ000-250300-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 182...RESENT

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

130 PM MDT SAT MAY 24 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  EASTERN NEW MEXICO



* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL

  900 PM MDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS

    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF

RATON NEW MEXICO TO 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROSWELL NEW MEXICO.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 181...



DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER ERN NM THIS

AFTN AND EVE AS SFC HEATING AND ASCENT WITH VORT LOBE ROTATING

AROUND AZ UPR LOW FURTHER DESTABILIZE REGION. ASSOCIATED

STRENGTHENING OF DEEP SHEAR SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS

WITH LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND...WITH THE ACTIVITY LIKELY

MERGING INTO BROKEN SSW-NNE BANDS.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 21030.





...CORFIDI

