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WWUS20 KWNS 010545

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MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-011200-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 382

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

145 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  SOUTHEASTERN LOWER MICHIGAN

  NORTHWESTERN OHIO

  LAKE ERIE



* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 145 AM UNTIL 800 AM EDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80

    MPH POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75

STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH

SOUTHWEST OF JACKSON MICHIGAN TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF

DETROIT MICHIGAN.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 378...WW 379...WW

380...WW 381...



DISCUSSION...MOST INTENSE PART OF LONG-LIVED/DAMAGING QLCS HAS SHOWN

SOME WEAKENING IN PAST HOUR...BUT STILL IS PRODUCING OCNL SVR GUSTS

IN ERN PORTIONS WW 381.  ALTHOUGH GEN TREND SHOULD CONTINUE TO FAVOR

DISORGANIZATION AS COMPLEX MOVES INTO PROGRESSIVELY LESS INSTABILITY

AND LARGER CINH...FORCED ASCENT ALONG LEADING EDGE OF ITS COLD POOL

MAY KEEP NEAR-SFC INFLOW PARCELS INVOLVED...ESPECIALLY OVER SERN

LOWER MI AND NWRN OH WHERE 70S F DEW POINTS ARE EVIDENT.  AS

SUCH...DAMAGING-WIND THREAT MAY CONTINUE AS FAR E AS DETROIT METRO

AND WRN PORTIONS LAKE ERIE.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS.

A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION

VECTOR 27040.





...EDWARDS

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