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289 

WWUS20 KWNS 292212

SEL3

SPC WW 292212

KSZ000-NMZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-300600-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 203

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

510 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2012



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF



       SOUTHWEST KANSAS

       FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO

       FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE

       NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE



EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 510 PM

UNTIL 100 AM CDT.



HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70

MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH

NORTHEAST OF DODGE CITY KANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF

CLAYTON NEW MEXICO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE

THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



DISCUSSION...BAND OF TSTMS IN SE CO/NE NM APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED

WITH WSW-ENE MID LVL MOISTURE AXIS ROUNDING BASE OF NRN HI PLNS UPR

TROUGH.  AS THE MOIST AXIS CONTINUES EWD AND ASSOCIATED STORMS

DEVELOP STRONGER COLD POOLS...STORMS MAY SUFFICIENTLY STRENGTHEN TO

POSE A THREAT FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND SVR HAIL GIVEN STEEP LOW LVL

LAPSE RATES AND INCREASING SLY LOW LVL INFLOW WITH EWD EXTENT.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 26025.





...CORFIDI

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