

081 

WWUS20 KWNS 010116

SEL3

SPC WW 010116

KSZ000-MOZ000-010900-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 483

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

815 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS

  WESTERN AND NORTHERN MISSOURI



* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 815 PM

  UNTIL 400 AM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS

    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI TO 30 MILES NORTH OF CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 479...WW 480...WW

481...WW 482...



DISCUSSION...INCREASINGLY WELL-ORGANIZED/QUASI-LINEAR MCS INITIALLY

OVER CENTRAL TO NERN KS IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER FAVORABLY

MOIST/UNSTABLE LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS AND LLJ-ENHANCED INFLOW.  THIS

WILL SUPPORT  MAINTENANCE OF RELATED WIND-DAMAGE THREAT EWD ACROSS

MO RIVER VALLEY...INCLUDING KC AND ST. JOSEPH AREAS...AND EWD OVER

PARTS OF NRN MO.  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL ALSO IS EXPECTED...AND AN

EMBEDDED/QLCS-MODE TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 26040.





...EDWARDS



119 

WWUS20 KWNS 010116

SEL3

SPC WW 010116

KSZ000-MOZ000-010900-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 483

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

815 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS

  WESTERN AND NORTHERN MISSOURI



* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 815 PM

  UNTIL 400 AM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS

    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI TO 30 MILES NORTH OF CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 479...WW 480...WW

481...WW 482...



DISCUSSION...INCREASINGLY WELL-ORGANIZED/QUASI-LINEAR MCS INITIALLY

OVER CENTRAL TO NERN KS IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER FAVORABLY

MOIST/UNSTABLE LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS AND LLJ-ENHANCED INFLOW.  THIS

WILL SUPPORT  MAINTENANCE OF RELATED WIND-DAMAGE THREAT EWD ACROSS

MO RIVER VALLEY...INCLUDING KC AND ST. JOSEPH AREAS...AND EWD OVER

PARTS OF NRN MO.  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL ALSO IS EXPECTED...AND AN

EMBEDDED/QLCS-MODE TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 26040.





...EDWARDS

