

204 

WWUS20 KWNS 020250

SEL3

SPC WW 020250

KSZ000-MOZ000-020900-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 513

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

950 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS

  WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI



* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 950 PM

  UNTIL 400 AM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF CHILLICOTHE

MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 511. WATCH NUMBER 511 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT

AFTER 950 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 512...



DISCUSSION...BKN BELT OF STG-SVR TSTMS...INCLUDING A COUPLE

SUPERCELLS...IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS PORTIONS WRN/CENTRAL

MO.  ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY

LOWER-THETAE SFC AIR -- OUTFLOW PRODUCED BY EARLIER CONVECTION --

STRENGTHENING SSWLY/SWLY LLJ AND ASSOCIATED WARM/MOIST ADVECTION

JUST OFF SFC SHOULD HELP TO SUSTAIN AT LEAST MRGLLY ORGANIZED SVR

THREAT EWD ACROSS WW AREA.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 26030.





...EDWARDS



686 

WWUS20 KWNS 020250

SEL3

SPC WW 020250

KSZ000-MOZ000-020900-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 513

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

950 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS

  WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI



* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 950 PM

  UNTIL 400 AM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF CHILLICOTHE

MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 511. WATCH NUMBER 511 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT

AFTER 950 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 512...



DISCUSSION...BKN BELT OF STG-SVR TSTMS...INCLUDING A COUPLE

SUPERCELLS...IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS PORTIONS WRN/CENTRAL

MO.  ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY

LOWER-THETAE SFC AIR -- OUTFLOW PRODUCED BY EARLIER CONVECTION --

STRENGTHENING SSWLY/SWLY LLJ AND ASSOCIATED WARM/MOIST ADVECTION

JUST OFF SFC SHOULD HELP TO SUSTAIN AT LEAST MRGLLY ORGANIZED SVR

THREAT EWD ACROSS WW AREA.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 26030.





...EDWARDS

