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869 

WWUS20 KWNS 072218

SEL4

SPC WW 072218

NMZ000-080600-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 254

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

415 PM MDT SAT JUN 7 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  EASTERN NEW MEXICO



* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 415 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT

  MDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS

    TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF

LAS VEGAS NEW MEXICO TO 70 MILES EAST OF RUIDOSO NEW MEXICO.  FOR

A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...



DISCUSSION...TSTMS FORMING IN RESPONSE TO SFC HEATING AND UPSLOPE

FLOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CNTRL/ERN NM EXPECTED TO

MOVE/DEVELOP GENERALLY ESE GIVEN MODERATE WLY FLOW ALOFT AND LOW-LVL

THETA-E GRADIENT PARALLELING WNW-ESE ORIENTED STALLED OUTFLOW

BOUNDARY. GIVEN WEAK LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND MOIST

LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT...SETUP COULD YIELD A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH

TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.





...CORFIDI

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