

000 

WWUS20 KWNS 020552

SEL5

SPC WW 020552

FLZ000-CWZ000-021100-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 15

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1250 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF



       PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA

       COASTAL WATERS



EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1250 AM UNTIL 600 AM EST.



TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS

TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE

MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF

OCALA FLORIDA TO 50 MILES EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.  FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO

WATCH NUMBER 14. WATCH NUMBER 14 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1250

AM EST.



DISCUSSION...THE THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES AND

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS ACROSS

CENTRAL FL.  VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES COUPLED WITH A MOIST AND

MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS SUPPORT STORMS OVER NERN GULF WILL BE A

CONCERN AS THEY MOVE INLAND ACROSS FL VICINITY E/W OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND

GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.

MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25050.





...HALES

