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112 

WWUS20 KWNS 210044

SEL5

SPC WW 210044

ARZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-210800-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 195

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

740 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS

  A SMALL PART OF WESTERN ILLINOIS

  SOUTHERN ANF CENTRAL MISSOURI

  EASTERN AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA



* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 740 PM

  UNTIL 300 AM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS EXPECTED WITH SEVERAL SIGNIFICANT

    GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE

  NUMEROUS LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL

    EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF

VICHY MISSOURI TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 190...WW 191...WW

192...WW 193...WW 194...



DISCUSSION...LOOSELY-CONNECTED BAND OF SUPERCELLS EXTENDING FROM THE

RED RVR VLY NEWD INTO SW MO EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY FURTHER

CONSOLIDATE AS THE BAND CONTINUES EWD AT A MODERATE PACE. AREA

SOUNDING AND VWP DATA SUGGEST THAT SEMI-DISCRETE OR EMBEDDED

SUPERCELL STRUCTURES LIKELY WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE EVE...POSING A

CONTINUED RISK FOR LARGE HAIL...DMGG WIND...AND TORNADOES. A FEW

BOWING SEGMENTS MAY EVOLVE THAT PRODUCE MORE CONCENTRATED SWATHS OF

STRONG WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN SE OK AND NW AR/SRN MO.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.





...CORFIDI

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