

643 

WWUS20 KWNS 021302

SEL5

SPC WW 021302

KSZ000-NEZ000-022000-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 515

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

800 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS

  FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA



* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 800 AM UNTIL

  300 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2

    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST

NORTHWEST OF FALLS CITY NEBRASKA TO 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WICHITA

KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED

WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



DISCUSSION...WDLY SCTD ELEVATED TSTMS NOW FORMING ATOP SHALLOW

SFC-BASED STABLE LAYER MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH LATER

THIS MORNING AS LEADING EDGE OF ASCENT LOOSELY TIED TO SRN RCKYS

SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES EWD ACROSS REGION. 12Z TOP RAOB SHOWING

DEEP EML...AND AVAILABILITY OF RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE /PW AROUND 1.50

INCHES/... SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY LOCALLY

DMGG FROM SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 23030.





...CORFIDI



072 

WWUS20 KWNS 021302

SEL5

SPC WW 021302

KSZ000-NEZ000-022000-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 515

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

800 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS

  FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA



* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 800 AM UNTIL

  300 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2

    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST

NORTHWEST OF FALLS CITY NEBRASKA TO 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WICHITA

KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED

WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



DISCUSSION...WDLY SCTD ELEVATED TSTMS NOW FORMING ATOP SHALLOW

SFC-BASED STABLE LAYER MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH LATER

THIS MORNING AS LEADING EDGE OF ASCENT LOOSELY TIED TO SRN RCKYS

SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES EWD ACROSS REGION. 12Z TOP RAOB SHOWING

DEEP EML...AND AVAILABILITY OF RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE /PW AROUND 1.50

INCHES/... SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY LOCALLY

DMGG FROM SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 23030.





...CORFIDI

