

605 

WWUS20 KWNS 131538

SEL5

SPC WW 131538

ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-140000-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 535

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1030 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

  WESTERN KENTUCKY

  SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI



* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1030 AM UNTIL

  700 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY

  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF SCOTT AFB

ILLINOIS TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY.  FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 533...WW 534...



DISCUSSION...BROKEN N-S SQLN NOW EXTENDING FROM E OF VICHY MO INTO

NE AR SHOULD CONTINUE SLOWLY EWD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

STORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN LINE WILL BE FOSTERED BY MODEST SFC

HEATING...CONTINUED LOW-LVL MOISTURE INFLOW /DEWPOINTS RISING IN THE

MID-UPR 60S/...AND LOW-LVL CONFLUENCE AHEAD OF SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE

SFC LOW NOW OVER SW MO. WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT...COUPLED WITH

STRENGTHENING WIND FIELD /ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONTINUED ENE ADVANCE

OF OK UPR TROUGH/...SUGGESTS THAT LONGER-LIVED STORMS WILL POSE A

CONDITIONAL RISK FOR TORNADOES. ONE OR TWO OF THE TORNADOES COULD BE

STRONG GIVEN 700 MB WINDS INCREASING TO AOA 60 KTS...FAIRLY RICH

MOISTURE..AND THE LIKELIHOOD FOR STORM MOTION PARALLEL TO LOW-LVL

MOISTURE/SHEAR AXES.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND

GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.

MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.





...CORFIDI



501 

WWUS20 KWNS 131538

SEL5

SPC WW 131538

ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-140000-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 535

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1030 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

  WESTERN KENTUCKY

  SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI



* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1030 AM UNTIL

  700 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY

  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF SCOTT AFB

ILLINOIS TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY.  FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 533...WW 534...



DISCUSSION...BROKEN N-S SQLN NOW EXTENDING FROM E OF VICHY MO INTO

NE AR SHOULD CONTINUE SLOWLY EWD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

STORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN LINE WILL BE FOSTERED BY MODEST SFC

HEATING...CONTINUED LOW-LVL MOISTURE INFLOW /DEWPOINTS RISING IN THE

MID-UPR 60S/...AND LOW-LVL CONFLUENCE AHEAD OF SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE

SFC LOW NOW OVER SW MO. WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT...COUPLED WITH

STRENGTHENING WIND FIELD /ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONTINUED ENE ADVANCE

OF OK UPR TROUGH/...SUGGESTS THAT LONGER-LIVED STORMS WILL POSE A

CONDITIONAL RISK FOR TORNADOES. ONE OR TWO OF THE TORNADOES COULD BE

STRONG GIVEN 700 MB WINDS INCREASING TO AOA 60 KTS...FAIRLY RICH

MOISTURE..AND THE LIKELIHOOD FOR STORM MOTION PARALLEL TO LOW-LVL

MOISTURE/SHEAR AXES.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND

GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.

MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.





...CORFIDI

