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WWUS20 KWNS 151840

SEL5

SPC WW 151840

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 475

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1245 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO



* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1245 PM

  UNTIL 800 PM MDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2

    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



SUMMARY...THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR CONTINUED

THUNDERSTORM/SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS

SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...TO THE EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  LARGE

HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN RISK...THOUGH ISOLATED STRONG/DAMAGING GUSTS

WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 105 MILES NORTH OF

ROSWELL NEW MEXICO TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CARLSBAD NEW MEXICO.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 29020.





...THOMPSON

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