

163 

WWUS20 KWNS 021722

SEL6

SPC WW 021722

ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-030100-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 516

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1220 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS

  FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS

  SOUTHWEST MISSOURI

  CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA



* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1220 PM

  UNTIL 800 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2

    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF

FORT LEONARD WOOD MISSOURI TO 20 MILES EAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 515...



DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND

INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT SWEEPING

EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THE PREDOMINANT CONVECTIVE MODE IS

EXPECTED TO BE LINEAR WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING WINDS

AND LARGE HAIL. ANY DISCRETE OR SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS THAT CAN FORM

MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OR TWO.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 24030.





...MEAD



996 

WWUS20 KWNS 021722

SEL6

SPC WW 021722

ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-030100-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 516

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1220 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS

  FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS

  SOUTHWEST MISSOURI

  CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA



* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1220 PM

  UNTIL 800 PM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2

    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF

FORT LEONARD WOOD MISSOURI TO 20 MILES EAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 515...



DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND

INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT SWEEPING

EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THE PREDOMINANT CONVECTIVE MODE IS

EXPECTED TO BE LINEAR WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING WINDS

AND LARGE HAIL. ANY DISCRETE OR SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS THAT CAN FORM

MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OR TWO.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 24030.





...MEAD

