

975 

WWUS20 KWNS 171735

SEL6

SPC WW 171735

FLZ000-CWZ000-180100-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 556

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1230 PM EST MON NOV 17 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  WESTERN...NORTHERN...AND CENTRAL FLORIDA

  COASTAL WATERS



* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL

  800 PM EST.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF OCALA

FLORIDA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SARASOTA FLORIDA.  FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 553...WW 554...WW 555...



DISCUSSION...PARTS OF NW GULF OF MEXICO SQLN ARE NEARLY CO-LOCATED

WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. SQLN SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY ESE

ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA...WITH PROPAGATIONAL

COMPONENT OF MOTION SUGGESTING PERHAPS A SWD TURN IN THE DIRECTION

OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE STRONGEST STORMS.

LOW-LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR DECREASES WITH SWD EXTENT...AND SHOULD

DECREASE WITH TIME. NEVERTHELESS...GIVEN PRESENCE OF EXISTING

MESO-CIRCULATIONS WITHIN THE SQLN...AND QUALITY OF MOISTURE RETURN

OVER THE WRN GULF /PW APPROACHING 2 INCHES/...SOME RISK MAY EXIST

FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE FL W CST...BEFORE

LOCALLY DMGG WINDS BECOME THE PREDOMINANT SVR THREAT.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND

GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.

MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.





...CORFIDI



563 

WWUS20 KWNS 171735

SEL6

SPC WW 171735

FLZ000-CWZ000-180100-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 556

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1230 PM EST MON NOV 17 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  WESTERN...NORTHERN...AND CENTRAL FLORIDA

  COASTAL WATERS



* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL

  800 PM EST.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF OCALA

FLORIDA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SARASOTA FLORIDA.  FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 553...WW 554...WW 555...



DISCUSSION...PARTS OF NW GULF OF MEXICO SQLN ARE NEARLY CO-LOCATED

WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. SQLN SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY ESE

ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA...WITH PROPAGATIONAL

COMPONENT OF MOTION SUGGESTING PERHAPS A SWD TURN IN THE DIRECTION

OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE STRONGEST STORMS.

LOW-LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR DECREASES WITH SWD EXTENT...AND SHOULD

DECREASE WITH TIME. NEVERTHELESS...GIVEN PRESENCE OF EXISTING

MESO-CIRCULATIONS WITHIN THE SQLN...AND QUALITY OF MOISTURE RETURN

OVER THE WRN GULF /PW APPROACHING 2 INCHES/...SOME RISK MAY EXIST

FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE FL W CST...BEFORE

LOCALLY DMGG WINDS BECOME THE PREDOMINANT SVR THREAT.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND

GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.

MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.





...CORFIDI

