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WWUS20 KWNS 151726

SEL7

SPC WW 151726

ARZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-160100-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 527

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1230 PM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021



The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a



* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of

  Arkansas

  Southwest Kentucky

  Far southeast Missouri

  Far northwest Mississippi

  Western Tennessee



* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 1230 PM until

  800 PM CDT.



* Primary threats include...

  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75

    mph possible

  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

  A tornado or two possible



SUMMARY...At least a few supercells embedded within an organizing

cluster are expected this afternoon across the Mid-South. Damaging

winds should be the main hazard, but a tornado or two and isolated

severe hail are also possible.



The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55

statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest

of Hot Springs AR to 65 miles northeast of Jackson TN. For a

complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline

update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are

favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.

Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening

weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible

warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce

tornadoes.



&&



AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to

1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A

few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector

26035.



...Grams

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