

482 

WWUS20 KWNS 120818

SEL8

SPC WW 120818

KSZ000-MOZ000-121400-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 148

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

315 AM CDT MON MAY 12 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  EASTERN KANSAS

  WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI



* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 315 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE



THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTH

NORTHEAST OF CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF

OLATHE KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 147...



DISCUSSION...SMALL...LONG-LIVED...PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE SYSTEM OVER

E CNTRL KS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD THROUGH LATER THIS MORNING.

NOCTURNAL INCREASE IN CIN WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT OVERALL SVR THREAT.

BUT GIVEN VERY MOIST INFLOW...AND WITH AREA VWP DATA SHOWING 60 KT

NEAR-SFC LLJ...UPLIFT ALONG SYSTEM COLD POOL COUPLED WITH PRECIP

LOADING MAY FOSTER OCCASIONAL DMGG WIND GUSTS. POTENTIAL ALSO WILL

EXIST FOR EMBEDDED SMALL-SCALE CIRCULATIONS GIVEN STRENGTH OF

LOW-LVL SHEAR.



AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.

A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION

VECTOR 25035.





...CORFIDI

