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WWUS20 KWNS 262131

SEL9

SPC WW 262131

FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-270500-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 19

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

430 PM EST THU JAN 26 2012



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF



       EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE

       CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA

       COASTAL WATERS



EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 430 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST.



TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS

TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF

MACON GEORGIA TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA.  FOR

A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 18...



DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE BAND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD

ACROSS PORTIONS OF GA AND NRN FL THIS EVENING IN TANDEM WITH 40-50+

KT SLY LLJ.  DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS HAS WARMED WELL INTO THE 70S THIS

AFTERNOON AND WHEN COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS OF AROUND

60 F IS RESULTING IN A WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF

250-500 J/KG.  WHILE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...THE

STRENGTHENING LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND ALREADY STRONG

VERTICAL SHEAR /I.E. 0-1 KM SRH OF 250-300 M2 PER S2/ INDICATE A

CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN

SUSTAINED STORMS.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND

GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.

MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.





...MEAD

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