

976 

WWUS20 KWNS 022248

SEL9

SPC WW 022248

ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-TXZ000-030700-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 519

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

545 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  ARKANSAS

  EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

  WESTERN KENTUCKY

  NORTHERN LOUISIANA

  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI

  NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI

  WESTERN TENNESSEE

  EXTREME NORTHEASTERN TEXAS



* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 545

  PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS

    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EL

DORADO ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 516...WW 517...WW 518...



DISCUSSION...SVR THREAT EXPECTED TO MAXIMIZE WITH INCREASINGLY

WELL-ORGANIZED LINE OF TSTMS...OFFERING PRIMARY WIND-DAMAGE RISK

WHILE MOVING W-E ACROSS WW AREA THIS EVENING.  SPORADIC HAIL IS

POSSIBLE ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR A FEW BRIEF QLCS TORNADOES.

ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH SLGT TORNADO RISK ALSO MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF

MAIN SQUALL LINE OVER MID-SOUTH REGION...WITHIN ENVIRONMENT OF

STEADILY INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SRH RELATED TO LLJ ENLARGEMENT OF

HODOGRAPH.  REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1801 FOR MORE

METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.





...EDWARDS



702 

WWUS20 KWNS 022248

SEL9

SPC WW 022248

ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-TXZ000-030700-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 519

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

545 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014



THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

  ARKANSAS

  EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

  WESTERN KENTUCKY

  NORTHERN LOUISIANA

  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI

  NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI

  WESTERN TENNESSEE

  EXTREME NORTHEASTERN TEXAS



* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 545

  PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT.



* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS

    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE

  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE



THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EL

DORADO ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.



&&



OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 516...WW 517...WW 518...



DISCUSSION...SVR THREAT EXPECTED TO MAXIMIZE WITH INCREASINGLY

WELL-ORGANIZED LINE OF TSTMS...OFFERING PRIMARY WIND-DAMAGE RISK

WHILE MOVING W-E ACROSS WW AREA THIS EVENING.  SPORADIC HAIL IS

POSSIBLE ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR A FEW BRIEF QLCS TORNADOES.

ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH SLGT TORNADO RISK ALSO MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF

MAIN SQUALL LINE OVER MID-SOUTH REGION...WITHIN ENVIRONMENT OF

STEADILY INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SRH RELATED TO LLJ ENLARGEMENT OF

HODOGRAPH.  REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1801 FOR MORE

METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.



AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.





...EDWARDS

