

123 

FZPN02 KWBC 290525

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

0545 UTC MON AUG 29 2016



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC AUG 29. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 30. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 31. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM S OF A LINE FROM 40N160E TO 

35N168E TO 30N171E AREA OF E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 

14 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 38N160E TO 33N169E AREA OF E 

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 36N160E TO 35N164E AREA OF E 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.LOW 52N134W 1003 MB MOVING NW 10 KT THEN TURNING SW. WITHIN 120 

NM N AND 180 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N138W 1003 MB. WITHIN 660 NM SW AND 240 

NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N135W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE...540 NM 

SW...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 39N175W 1014 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 90 NM E OF A FRONT 

FROM LOW CENTER TO 45N173W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS 

DIMINISHED.



.LOW 43N178E 1014 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 

LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N177W 1006 MB. WITHIN 480 NM N AND 

NE...300 NM SE...AND 120 NM SW QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 240 NM NE 

AND E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 43N169W TO 40N169W TO 32N171W 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N177W 999 MB. WITHIN 540 NM N AND 300 NM 

E QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 180 NM E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 

50N166W TO 40N166W TO 33N170W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 38N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 39N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS FROM 45N TO 58N W OF 168W AND FROM 49N TO 52N BETWEEN 

154W AND 160W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 47N TO 49N BETWEEN 170E AND 

165E AND FROM 46N TO 59N BETWEEN 171W AND 175E AND FROM 42N TO 

45N BETWEEN 166W AND 172W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 55N BETWEEN 163W AND 

177E AND FROM 48N TO 51N BETWEEN 155W AND 158W. 



.HIGH 47N164E 1024 M3 NEARLY STATIONARY. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 44N156W 1030 MB MOVING S 10 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N156W 1027 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 40N154W 1027 MB. 



.HIGH 34N130W 1022 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.FORECASTER BELL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 29.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 30.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 31.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 17.9N 126.4W 979 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 29

MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT

GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE

QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND

120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM

N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLEWINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO

12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 133W

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 131.1W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 210 NM NW

QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N

SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO

12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 26N BETWEEN 124W AND 140W

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.2N 136.1W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO

33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 27N

BETWEEN 131W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN

MIXED SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 140.6W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.5N 145.3W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 19.7N 150.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE W OF AREA. FROM 16N TO 22N W OF 138W SE

TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 09 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 16N TO 26N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS TO 8 FT.



.FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 109W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS

TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 109W AND 117W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W WINDS

20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC MON AUG 29...



.HURRICANE LESTER...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 16N TO 19N

BETWEEN 125W AND 128W.



.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W.



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 14N118W TO LOW PRES NEAR

12N112W TO 12N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N

TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO16N

BETWEEN 114W AND 122W. 



.FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC AUG 29 2016.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 30 2016.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 31 2016.



.WARNINGS. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 17.4N 143.1W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC 

MOVING WNW 09 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 

WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 30 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 60 NM NE...30 NM SE...60 

NM SW...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 

12 FT ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 20N E OF 145W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 

STRONG TSTMS FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 141W AND 144W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 18.8N 146.2W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 90 NM NE...50 NM SE...40 NM SW...AND 

90 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 142W AND 148W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 19.2N 149.8W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 80 NM NE...50 NM SE...40 NM SW AND 

80 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 146W AND 153W. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 18.7N 154.0W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 



EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 



.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 17.9N 158.2W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 17.0N 162.5W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 

AND INTENSITY. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 13N160W 1009 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

14N157W TO 12N151W TO 11N147W...AND FROM LOW TO 10N162W TO 

06N170W. TROUGHS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 

13N TO 16N BETWEEN 151W AND 162W...WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 

12N156W TO 09N161W TO 06N168W...AND FROM 08N TO 11N E OF 153W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 14N160W 1011 MB. TROUGHS...LITTLE CHANGE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 15N163W 1012 MB. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

11N149W...AND FROM LOW TO 10N170W. 



.FRONT FROM 30N175W TO 27N178E TO 30N169E NEARLY STATIONARY. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF FRONT...AND ELSEWHERE N 

OF LINE FROM 24N179W TO 21N175E TO 23N171E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N174W TO 28N177W TO 30N177E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT MOVED N OF FORECAST AREA. 



.FRONT FROM 30N164E TO 24N163E TO 19N160E MOVING E SLOWLY N OF 

24N... AND NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE. E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 

KT OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 169E AND 174E. ISOLATED 

MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N166E TO 27N169E TO 20N165E TO 

16N160E. WINDS EASED TO 20 KT OR LESS OVER FORECAST WATERS. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING FRONT FROM 30N171E TO 20N166E TO 

16N160E. 



.TROUGH FROM 24N168E TO 19N167E TO 16N160E NEARLY STATIONARY. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS BOUNDED BY 20N165E TO 17N171E TO 12N165E 

TO 15N160E TO 17N160E TO 20N165E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING TROUGH FROM 28N172E TO 26N172E TO 

18N167E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MERGED WITH FRONT DISCUSSED IMMEDIATELY 

ABOVE. 



.TROUGH FROM 13N173E TO 10N170E TO 05N169E NEARLY STATIONARY. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH...ELSEWHERE FROM 

09N TO 19N BETWEEN 173E AND 180E...AND FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 

162E AND 166E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 15N170E TO 06N168E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAK TROUGH FROM 14N167E TO 09N166E. 



.TROUGH FROM 24N140W TO 21N142W MOVING NW 15 KT. ISOLATED 

MODERATE TSTMS FROM 23N TO 25N E OF 143W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 28N140W TO 25N145W TO 23N149W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. 



.RIDGE FROM 30N164W TO 22N180E TO 15N170E TO 10N160E NEARLY 

STATIONARY. 



.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



.THE FOLLOWING ARE SEAS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. MADELINE. 



.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF 27N W OF 166E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 11 FT N OF 22N W OF 166E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT N OF 22N W OF 172E. 



.SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



$$ 



.FORECASTER KINEL. HONOLULU HI.

