

162 

FZNT01 KWBC 032141

HSFAT1



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV 

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 

2230 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 



CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOW+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W 



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 03 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 04 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 05 



.WARNINGS. 



...STORM WARNING... 

.LOW 40N54W 1006 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE 

AND 240 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 

ELSEWHERE FROM 33N TO 44N BETWEEN 61W AND 46W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 

SEAS TO 10 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N43W 996 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W AND S 

SEMICIRCLES WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE 

WITHIN 300 NM OF LOW EXCEPT WITHIN 600 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 

35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA NEAR 49N33W 991 MB. OVER 

FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 300 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 

25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM SW AND 

240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.  



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 43N40W 1013 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS MOVED E OF AREA. 



.LOW 54N37W 1011 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 

LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA 57N32W 1003 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW 

QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA NEAR 57N33W 1006 MB. WITHIN 420 

NM NW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 



.LOW 33N75W 1015 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 

LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N71W 1014 MB. WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 

THAN 8 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 35N65W 1013 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 



.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 43N TO 48N W OF 45W AREA OF SW WINDS TO 

25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.



.HIGH 56N58W 1019 MB MOVING SE 10 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 54N52W 1017 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.  



.HIGH 49N53W 1024 MB MOVING S 10 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 43N61W 1023 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N50W 1022 MB. 



.HIGH 43N68W 1021 MB MOVING SE 05 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N66W 1023 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.FORECASTER MUSONDA. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND

GULF OF MEXICO



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 03.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 04.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 05.



.WARNINGS.



...CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...

...GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...



.CARIBBEAN HURRICANE EARL NEAR 17.1N 86.0W 988 MB AT 2100

UTC AUG 03 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS

65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NW

AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE AND 30 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT

OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE AND 150 NM NW

QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E

SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER WINDS

20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER CARIBBEAN FROM 16N TO

21N W OF 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN

MIXED SWELL. NUMEROUS TSTMS W OF LINE FROM 20N83W TO 11N78W.

.CARIBBEAN 12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EARL NEAR 17.5N 87.8W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12

FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM WITHIN 150 NE AND 90 NM SE QUADRANTS

WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE  AND 

OVER

WATERS W OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER

CARIBBEAN S OF 21N W OF 84W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT

PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EARL INLAND NEAR

18.0N 90.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT INLAND

NEAR CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE INLAND WITHIN 30 NM OVER NE

QUADRANT. CARIBBEAN FROM 17N TO 21N W OF 85W SE WINDS 20 TO 25

KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. GULF OF MEXICO S OF 22N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W NE

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL

DEPRESSION EARL INLAND NEAR 18.2N 92.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS

30 KT GUSTS 40 KT INLAND NEAR CENTER. CARIBBEAN FROM 17N TO 20N

W OF 86W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SUBSIDING E SWELL.

GULF OF MEXICO S OF 22N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 

30

KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EARL OVER WATER

NEAR 18.5N 94.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 TO

14 FT WITHIN 120 NM N QUADRANT OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE S OF 23N

BETWEEN 92W AND 96W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARL INLAND NEAR 18.5N

97.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 



.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 71W AND 73W E WINDS 20 TO 25

KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 71W AND 82W 

WINDS KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 71W AND 76W E WINDS 20

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



$$

.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

