

892 

FZPN02 KWBC 281125

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

1145 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 28. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 29. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 30. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 39N160E TO 35N165E TO 

30N165E AREA OF E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 300 NM N OF A LINE FROM 34N160E TO 

30N168E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 240 NM N OF A LINE FROM 35N160E TO 

32N167E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.LOW 52N135W 1004 MB DRIFTING N. WITHIN 300 NM SW AND 780 NM NW 

QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N135W 1002 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N AND 180 

NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N137W 1003 MB. WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 48N175W 1011 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS 

DIMINISHED. 



.LOW 43N175W 1014 MB MOVING N 20 KT. WITHIN 180 NM OF A FRONT 

FROM LOW CENTER TO 39N178W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. NEW LOW 41N178E 1014 MB. 

WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 46N175W TO 37N171W WINDS TO 25 

KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 45N176W 1006 

MB. FROM 46N TO 50N BETWEEN 169W AND 180W AND WITHIN 240 NM E OF 

A LINE FROM 48N169W TO 31N171W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 



.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 38N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 



.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 48N170E 1011 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S AND 

180 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS N OF 46N W OF 168W AND FROM 47N TO 53N BETWEEN 153W AND 

161W AND FROM 45N TO 49N BETWEEN 131W AND 136W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 46N TO 52N W OF 171E AND N OF 

49N BETWEEN 178W AND 176E AND FROM 44N TO 51N BETWEEN 169W AND 

175W AND FROM 49N TO 51N BETWEEN 155W AND 159W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 

57N174E TO 52N177E TO 42N167W. 



.HIGH 62N168W 1030 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.



.HIGH 48N165E 1023 MB MOVING SW 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 47N163E 1022 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 40N166W 1022 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 45N155W 1029 MB MOVING SW 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 43N157W 1027 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N156W 1027 MB. 



.HIGH 31N130W 1021 MB MOVING N 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 33N130W 1023 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N132W 1023 MB.



.FORECASTER BELL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 28.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 29.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 30.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 17.9N 122.2W 978 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 28

MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT

GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE

QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180

NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND

210 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER

OF AREA FROM 13N TO 23N BETWEEN 116W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR

LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 126.9W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N

TO 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11

FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.4N 132.3W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS

TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S

SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA

FROM 12N TO 27N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT

IN MIXED SWELL. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.4N 137.4W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.6N 142.2W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 19.4N 147.1W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WEST OF AREA NEAR 16.1N 140.6W 998 MB

AT 0900 UTC AUG 28 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N

TO 17N W OF 138W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN MIXED

SWELL. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 136W AND 139W SW WINDS 20 TO 25

KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE 11N TO 21N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT

OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 18N TO 21N W OF 138W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO

25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 28N W OF 136W

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH HURRICANE LESTER.



.FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS

TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 107W AND 111W

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W SW WINDS

20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 110W AND

120W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W SW TO

W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN

97W AND 103W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SUN AUG 28...



.HURRICANE LESTER...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN

75 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF

CENTER. 



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N90W TO 12N102W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR

10.5N111W TO 12N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM

09N TO 13N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CAN BE

FOUND FROM 10N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 105W AND 108W.



.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 28 2016.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 29 2016.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 30 2016.



.WARNINGS. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 16.1N 140.6W 998 MB MOVING NW 07 

KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR 

GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. 

SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NW QUADRANT...60 NM NW 

QUADRANT AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 

12 FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF 

CENTER. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 17.8N 143.0W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE...60 NM SE...55 NM SW AND 

80 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 19.4N 146.3W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE 

WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 19.6N 150.3W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 



EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 



.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 19.0N 154.5W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 18.5N 159.0W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 

AND INTENSITY. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 13N160W 1011 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS 

WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 13N160W 1010 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 14N161W 1011 MB. 



.TROUGH 30N173W 25N180E 23N167E MOVING NW SLOWLY. ISOLATED 

MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 28N173W 20N170E 16N164E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 27N177W 24N170E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N178W 28N172E. 



.FRONT 30N162E 28N160E MOVING E 10 KT. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 

28N W OF 166E. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS N OF 26N W OF 168E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N166E 22N160E. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 

28N BETWEEN 165E AND 175E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N170E 23N160E. WINDS DIMINISHED TO 20 

KT OR LESS. 



.RIDGE 30N161W 19N180W 13N166E 14N160E NEARLY STATIONARY. 



.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA. 



.SEAS 8 TO 10 FT W OF LINE 30N164E 23N160E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT W OF LINE 30N170E 20N160E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 11 FT W OF LINE 30N168E 20N168E 

18N160E. 



.SEAS 8 FT OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA. 



.MONSOON TROUGH 15N142W 12N150W 13N158W...AND FROM 12N161W TO 

06N170W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF MONSOON 

TROUGH. 



.SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 170E AND 177E. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 03N TO 09N W OF 172E. 



$$ 



.FORECASTER POWELL. HONOLULU HI.

