

547 

FZPN02 KWBC 022325

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

2345 UTC TUE AUG 02 2016



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 02. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 03. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 04. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 36N TO 43N BETWEEN 124W AND 128W AREA 

OF N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 36N TO 44N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W AREA OF 

N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 47N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W AREA OF 

N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.



...GALE WARNING... 

.FROM 43N TO 50N W OF 164E AREA OF SW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 

FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 49N159E 1007 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S 

AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N171E 1009 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S QUADRANT 

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N176W 1011 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.FROM 46N TO 57N BETWEEN 130W AND 135W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS TO 

25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH FIRST GALE 

WARNING. 



.LOW 60N150W 1014 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. WITHIN 540 NM S QUADRANT 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N140W 1016 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S QUADRANT 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED. 



.LOW 50N178W 1011 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 480 NM E QUADRANT 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N174W 1011 MB. BETWEEN 300 NM AND 720 NM 

E QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N169W 1009 MB. BETWEEN 300 NM AND 780 NM 

E AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.



.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 34N BETWEEN 136W AND 149W AREA OF 

E TO NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 32N BETWEEN 138W AND 154W AREA OF 

E TO NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.



.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 34N BETWEEN 169E AND 160E AREA OF 

E TO SE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.



.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 41N TO 50N BETWEEN 168E AND 160E AREA OF 

SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS FROM 41N TO 56N W OF 150W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 57N W OF 148W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 56N W OF 146W.



.HIGH 45N146W 1037 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 44N146W 1038 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 45N147W 1037 MB.



.HIGH 57N167W 1023 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH INLAND 61N158W 1021 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.



.HIGH 40N169E 1026 MB MOVING E 10 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 40N174E 1027 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N177E 1027 MB.



.FORECASTER NOLT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 02.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 03.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 04.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E NEAR 13.3N 115.7W 1008 MB AT 2100 UTC

AUG 02 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS

30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33

KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TEN-E NEAR 14.5N 121.1W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12

FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES...120 NM

NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.

SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEN-E NEAR 15.5N 127.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW

SEMICIRCLES...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS

TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEN-E NEAR 16.1N 132.4W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEN-E NEAR 16.9N 136.8W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TEN-E NEAR 18.0N 140.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 19.3N 130.2W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG

02 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT

GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E

SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT

OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES...120 NM NE

QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.

SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 21.0N 135.0W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 60 NM SW

SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E AND

180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 22.1N 140.7W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12

FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS

TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 21N TO 27N W OF

136W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF

18N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HOWARD NEAR 22.5N 146.6W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.5N

151.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.0N

156.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W

AND 95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN

94.5W AND 95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LITTLE CHANGE.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC TUE AUG 02...



.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN

60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN

126W AND 131W. 



.TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG

FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W.



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N90W TO 12N110W TO

10N123W...THEN RESUMES AT 13N129W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED

MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF A LINE

FROM 05N79W TO 09N99W TO 14N107W AND FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN

119W AND 139W.



.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 02 2016.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 03 2016.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 04 2016.



.WARNINGS. 



...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD 22.1N 1340.7W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER WITHIN 

60 NM N SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 28N 

E OF 144W. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 

60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE...SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE E OF LINE 

30N140W 27N147W 18N140W. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.TROUGH 30N167E 22N164E MOVING NW 10 KT. SCATTERED STRONG TSTMS 

BOUNDED BY 28N171E 16N175E 11N162E 20N160E 28N172E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 28N162E 22N160E. SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 

BOUNDED BY 30N163E 28N172E 22N169E 27N162E 30N160E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA. SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT 

BOUNDED BY 30N165E 22N172E 30N160E 30N165E. 



.TROUGH 10N140W 09N143W 05N152W MOVING NW 5 KT. ISOLATED TSTMS 

WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST 11N140W 09N150W 06N156W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST 13N140W 11N144W 11N152W 06N163W 



.ITCZ FROM 08N147W TO 06N162W. ISOLATED TSTMS BOUNDED BY 14N175E 

03N180E 06N177E 14N175E. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT BOUNDED BY 30N164E 20S180W 

22N168E 18N161E 30N164E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 13 FT NW OF LINE 30N170W 23N165E 

20N165E 16N160E. 



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 



$$ 

.HONOLULU HI.

