

625 

FZPN02 KWBC 291725

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

1745 UTC MON AUG 29 2016



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 29. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 30. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 31. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 40N160E TO 32N170E AREA 

OF E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 35N160E TO 33N167E AREA OF E 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS W OF AREA. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 53N137W 1000 MB MOVING S 05 KT. WITHIN 300 NM E QUADRANT 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM E AND 

180 NM N AND NW AND BETWEEN 540 NM AND 720 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N136W 1003 MB. FROM 40N TO 60N BETWEEN 

144W AND 125W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N133W 1004 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 



.LOW 40N173W 1014 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 540 

NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS DESCRIBED 

BELOW WITH LOW 45N177W. 



.LOW 42N179E 1008 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 180 NM SW 

SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N177W 1002 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE 

SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 240 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 

49N173W TO 42N168W TO 32N170W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N179W 997 MB. BETWEEN 240 NM AND 540 NM 

N...180 NM AND 900 NM SE AND 180 NM AND 1200 NM S QUADRANTS 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.



.FROM 31N TO 37N BETWEEN 119W AND 123W AREA OF NW WINDS TO 25 

KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 37N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS FROM 44N TO 60N W OF 166W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 43N TO 60N BETWEEN 163W AND 

175E AND WITHIN 120 NM OF 48N127W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 43N TO 57N BETWEEN 157W AND 

175E. 



.HIGH 56N171W 1028 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 47N161E 1023 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 42N157W 1028 MB MOVING SE 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 40N154W 1027 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N152W 1027 MB. 



.HIGH 33N130W 1024 MB MOVING SW 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N133W 1021 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.



.HIGH 33N179W 1018 MB MOVING E 10 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 33N173W 1016 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.



.FORECASTER LEE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 29.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 30.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 31.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 129.3W 961 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 29

MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT

GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE

QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 150 NM S

SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND

150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.

REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 26N BETWEEN 122W AND 135W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.2N 133.6W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 120 NM S

SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND

150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 26N W OF 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.2N 138.3W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

210 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 360 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS

8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 26N W OF 132W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.4N 143.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 19.3N 147.9W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 21.0N 153.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.HURRICANE MADELINE W OF AREA. FROM 18N TO 23N W OF 139W WINDS

20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH HURRICANE LESTER.



.FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



.LOW PRES NEAR 13N115W 1010 MB. FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 108W AND

118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N118W 1007 MB. FROM 11N TO 14N

BETWEEN 116W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N119W 1005 MB. WITHIN 90 NM

OF LOW WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.



.FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS

TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 96W AND 110W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 94W AND 104W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 1430 UTC MON AUG 29...



.HURRICANE LESTER...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF

CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120

NM OF CENTER.  



.LOW PRES NEAR 13N115W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM

11N TO 15N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W.



.SCATTERED MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN

77W AND 87W. 



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N89W TO 11N97W TO 13N105W

TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N115W 1010 MB TO 13N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE

ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH

AXIS E OF 108W.



.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 29 2016.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 30 2016.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 31 2016.



.WARNINGS. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 18.0N 144.2W 975 MB AT 1200 UTC MOVING 

WNW 09 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. WINDS 34 

KT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 50 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 80 NM NE...50 NM SE...50 

NM SW...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 

12 FT ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 23N E OF 147W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 

STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 19.0N 147.7W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 90 NM NE...70 NM SE...70 NM SW...AND 

90 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 26N BETWEEN 143W AND 151W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 18.9N 151.7W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 80 NM NE...50 NM SE...50 NM SW AND 

80 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 27N BETWEEN 147W AND 155W. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 18.1N 155.9W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. 



EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 



.96 HOUR FORECAST MADELINE 17.7N 160.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 

60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST MADELINE 17.6N 164.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 

WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 

AND INTENSITY. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER E OF AREA. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT 

FROM 17N TO 24N E OF 142W. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 15N TO 26N W OF 

147W. 



.LOW 14N160W 1011 MB MOVING W SLOWLY. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

12N146W AND FROM LOW TO 06N178W. TROUGHS NEARLY STATIONARY. 

SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM N OF LOW...WITHIN 220 NM 

OF EASTERN TROUGH...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N160W TO 

06N170W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 15N163W 1011 MB. TROUGH FROM LOW TO 

10N150W AND FROM LOW TO 08N173W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 15N166W 1012 MB. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

10N160W TO 11N150W...AND FROM LOW TO 10N170W. 



.FRONT FROM 30N173W TO 27N180E TO 30N174E NEARLY STATIONARY. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N173W TO 27N180E TO 30N174E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT MOVED N OF FORECAST AREA. 



.FRONT FROM 30N167E TO 19N160E MOVING E SLOWLY. ISOLATED 

MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N170E TO 20N164E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N179E TO 20N160E. 



.TROUGH FROM 15N171E TO 07N170E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED 

MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 360 NM OF TROUGH. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 15N170E TO 08N169E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAK TROUGH FROM 14N166E TO 08N166E. 



.DISSIPATING TROUGH FROM 27N140W TO 22N143W MOVING NW 15 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. 



.RIDGE FROM 30N166W TO 17N172E NEARLY STATIONARY. 



.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



.THE FOLLOWING ARE SEAS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE MADELINE 

OR LESTER. 

.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF 27N W OF 166E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 11 FT N OF 20N W OF 170E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT N OF 22N W OF 172E. 



.SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTSM FROM 10N TO 13N E OF 143W. 



$$ 



.FORECASTER MORRISON. HONOLULU HI.

