

642 

FZNT01 KWBC 020345

HSFAT1



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV 

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 

0430 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016 



CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOW+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W 



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SEP 02 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 03 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 04 



.WARNINGS. 



.FOR INFORMATION THROUGH 24 HOURS REGARDING HURRICANE HERMINE 

PLEASE SEE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER SECTION IN PART II BELOW. 

FOR INFORMATION REGARDING HERMINE AT 48 HOURS PLEASE REFER TO 

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING BELOW. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.HURRICANE GASTON NEAR 38.3N 36.0W 984 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 02 

MOVING ENE OR 075 DEG AT 20 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 

GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE...150 

NM SE...130 NM SW...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 

GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE...270 NM SE...240 NM SW...AND 270 NM NW 

QUADRANTS...WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GASTON E OF AREA NEAR 38.8N 

33.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GASTON E OF AREA NEAR 39.4N 

29.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM 

FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW...30 NM NW...AND 90 NM SE 

QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...WITH 

SEAS TO 24 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL GASTON E OF AREA NEAR 42.7N 

23.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 

GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES...WITH SEAS TO 

16 FT. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL GASTON DISSIPATED E OF AREA. 



...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 

.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HERMINE NEAR 37.0N 73.2W. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 

WINDS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 

NM NE...300 NM SE...240 NM SW...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS...WITH 

SEAS TO 25 FT. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HERMINE NEAR 38.0N 72.5W. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED 

OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 

.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HERMINE NEAR 39.0N 72.0W. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HERMINE NEAR 39.5N 70.5W. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.LOW 35N71W 1010 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 240 NM S QUADRANT 

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM S 

AND SE QUADRANTS N OF 31N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N55W 1005 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND SE 

QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 

300 NM NE...420 NM SE...480 NM SW...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA NEAR 49N33W 985 MB. OVER 

FORECAST WATERS FROM 35N TO 54N E OF 50W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 

9 TO 18 FT. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N39W 1007 MB MOVING E 30 KT. WITHIN 360 

NM S QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.LOW 41N62W 1009 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 420 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N55W 1006 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND SE 

QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N45W 1004 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND SE 

QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 49N33W 

DESCRIBED ABOVE. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW E OF AREA 57N29W 991 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. OVER FORECAST 

WATERS FROM 50N TO 58N E OF 40W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 

FT.  

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS E OF FORECAST 

AREA. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 61N TO 67N BETWEEN 56W AND GREENLAND 

COAST AREA OF WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 54N TO 64N BETWEEN 56W AND 48W WINDS TO 

25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 



.LOW 65N35W 999 MB MOVING SW 15 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 

LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 61N43W 997 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 61N38W 1001 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W AND NW 

QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT WHERE NOTED WITH HERMINE IN PART II 

BELOW...FROM 31N TO 36N W OF 74W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 

FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST REFER TO GALE WARNING ABOVE WITH POST-TROPICAL 

HERMINE NEAR 37.0N73.2W. 



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 120 NM OF 

45N52W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 180 NM OF 44N47W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED. 



.HIGH 40N46W 1021 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 43N65W 1024 MB. 



.FORECASTER SCOVIL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND

GULF OF MEXICO



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 02.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 03.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 04.



.WARNINGS.



...GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE HERMINE NEAR 29.7N 84.3W 984 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 02

MOVING NNE OR 030 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT

GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE

QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW

QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...150

NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH

SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 24N E OF 87W

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INLAND NEAR 31.5N 82.8W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INLAND NEAR 33.6N

79.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM

FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...50

NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OVER FORECAST

WATERS WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT. GULF OF MEXICO WATERS WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. OVER ATLC FORECAST WATERS N OF

28.5N W OF 76W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL HERMINE NEAR 37.0N

73.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM

FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

AND 12 FT SEAS N OF AREA. OVER ATLC FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N

BETWEEN 70W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED

SWELL. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL HERMINE NEAR 38.0N

72.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL HERMINE NEAR 39.0N

72.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL HERMINE NEAR

39.5N 70.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.ATLC LARGE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 40W-42W. FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN

37W AND 41W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LARGE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 48W-50W. FROM 16N TO

21N BETWEEN 45W AND 52W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9

FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LARGE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 56W-58W. ATLC AND

CARIBBEAN WATERS FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 53W AND 64W NE TO E

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT EXCEPT LESS THAN 8 FT

CARIBBEAN WATERS.



.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W NE TO E WINDS 20

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.  

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 70W AND 73.5W NE

TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W NE TO E

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



$$

.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

