

651 

FZNT01 KWBC 031012

HSFAT1



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV 

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 

1030 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 



CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOW+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W 



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 03 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 04 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 05 



.WARNINGS. 



...STORM WARNING... 

.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 39N61W 1008 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. 

WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM E AND SE AND 420 NM SW 

QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 42N48W 1003 MB. 

WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LOW CENTER WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 

FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 32N TO 45N BETWEEN 38W AND 56W WINDS 25 TO 35 

KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 43N43W 999 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW 

AND SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N38W 991 MB. WITHIN 150 NM S AND W 

SEMICIRCLES WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 

40N TO 51N BETWEEN 35W AND 45W AND WITHIN 90 NM SE OF A FRONT TO 

EXTEND FROM 40N35W TO 35N43W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 41N44W 1010 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 300 NM 

SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA 44N34W 1009 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW 

SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS E OF AREA. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N35W 1005 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW AND W 

QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA.



.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 46N59W 1022 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH MERGED WITH HIGH 42N54W.



.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 42N67W 1022 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N54W 1022 MB.



.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N72W 1022 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.FORECASTER LEE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND

GULF OF MEXICO



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 03.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 04.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 05.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM EARL NEAR 16.1N 83.7W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 03

MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT

GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE

QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...45

NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH

SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN

210 NM SE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO

11 FT. REMAINDER AREA S OF 21N BETWEEN 79W AND 85W WINDS 20 KT

OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EARL NEAR 17.0N 87.9W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SE QUADRANT...AND OVER WATERS W OF

CENTER WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. CARIBBEAN ELSEWHERE S OF 22N W OF 82W

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EARL INLAND NEAR 17.5N 90.3W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. CARIBBEAN FROM 17N TO

20N W OF 86W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE

FROM 17N TO 22N W OF 83W WINDS 20 OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARL INLAND NEAR 18.1N

92.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT INLAND NEAR CENTER. CARIBBEAN

FROM 17N TO 20N W OF 86W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN

SUBSIDING SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EARL INLAND NEAR 19.0N 96.0W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARL INLAND NEAR 19.0N

100.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 70W AND 73W NE TO E WINDS 20

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 71W AND 80W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E AND SE SWELL.

.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 73W AND 81W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 14N BETWEEN 70W AND 72W

WINDS NE TO E 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 71W AND 77W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E AND SE SWELL.

.39 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  



.GULF OF MEXICO 39 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N E OF 93W N TO NE WINDS

20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N E OF 94W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.   



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



$$

.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

