

673 

FZPN02 KWBC 270525

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

0545 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC AUG 27. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 28. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 29. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 30N TO 41N W OF 164E AREA OF SE WINDS 

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 40N160E TO 36N165E TO 30N164E 

AREA OF SE TO S WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 31N164E 1001 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 

600 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.OVER FORECAST WATERS NE OF A LINE FROM 54N147W TO 45N132W AND 

WITHIN 300 NM E OF A LINE FROM 46N140W TO 38N145W WINDS 20 TO 30 

KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 48N TO 50N BETWEEN 126W AND 128W WINDS TO 

25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.



.LOW 41N171W 1011 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 180 NM E AND SE 

QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 180 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT FROM 45N167W 

TO 40N163W TO 37N163W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N175W 1013 MB. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS 

DIMINISHED.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N178W 1014 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE AND E OF 

A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 49N176W TO 46N172W TO 39N174W WINDS TO 25 

KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 53N137W 1010 MB. WITHIN 600 NM SW 

QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N134W 1004 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E AND 300 

NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS N OF 47N W OF 171E AND N OF 57N BETWEEN 174W AND 179W AND 

WITHIN 420 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 55N154W TO 46N171W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF A LINE FROM 47N160E TO 48N170E 

TO 52N176E AND N OF 58N BETWEEN 173W AND 179W AND WITHIN 480 NM 

SW OF A LINE FROM 56N169W TO 50N153W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF A LINE FROM 48N160E TO 49N167E 

TO 51N172E AND WITHIN 600 NM SW OF A LINE FROM 58N172W TO 

51N154W.



.HIGH 46N167E 1025 MB MOVING NW 05 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 49N166E 1025 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 48N162E 1025 MB.



.HIGH 40N172E 1025 MB MOVING SE 15 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N176E 1020 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.



.HIGH 46N149W 1035 MB MOVING SW 10 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 45N154W 1029 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 43N155W 1028 MB.



.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N131W 1018 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N131W 1021 MB.



.FORECASTER BELL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 27.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 28.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 29.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 17.9N 116.5W 987 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 27

MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS

80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60

NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. 

SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE

QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE 

WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO

33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 21N

BETWEEN 112W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN

MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 119.8W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER

WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS

TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM S

SEMICIRCLE...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS

8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 23N BETWEEN 115W

AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.2N 124.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND

270 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 24N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS

20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.5N 130.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.5N 136.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 140.8W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 13.9N 137.4W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC

AUG 27 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS

35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N

SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS

8 TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 15.4N 139.8W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90

NM SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.

ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 120 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO

12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 17.0N 142.4W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER W OF

AREA. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT

AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 18.5N 145.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 19.5N 149.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 19.5N 153.5W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N90W TO 10N101W TO 09N107W TO 08N107W

TO 06N96W TO 06N91W TO 08N90W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT

IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N106W TO 12N116W TO

11N120W TO 08N117W TO 06N109W TO 09N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N102W TO 12N117W TO

11N123W TO 09N126W TO 07N113W TO 07N102W TO 09N102W SW WINDS 20

TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.



.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03S97.5W TO 02.5S99W TO 03S101W TO

03S106W TO 03.4S106.5W TO 03.4S97W TO 03S97.5W WINDS 20 KT OR

LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC SAT AUG 27...



.HURRICANE LESTER...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 

120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT.



.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG

WITHIN 180 NM N QUADRANT...90 NM E QUADRANT...AND 150 NM SW

SEMICIRCLE. 



.LOW PRES NEAR 10N107W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 360 NM SW

QUADRANT.



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N94W TO LOW PRES NEAR

10N107W TO 11N112W THEN RESUMES NEAR 14N118W TO 12N122W TO

16N133W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN

78W AND 93W...FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 102W AND 109W...AND ALSO

WITHIN 270 NM SW OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 131W.



.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC AUG 27 2016.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 28 2016.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 29 2016.



.WARNINGS. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 15.4N 139.8W. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 

WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 

NM SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. 

ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 120 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE 

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 

12 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 17.0N 142.4W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER W OF 

AREA. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT 

AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 18.5N 145.5W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 

GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 19.5N 149.5W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 19.5N 153.5W. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 11N159W 1011 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 

WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N159W 1010 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 12N160W 1009 MB. 



.LOW 20N165E 1012 MB MOVING NE SLOWLY. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

25N167E...AND FROM LOW TO 21N174E TO 25N176W. SCATTERED TSTMS 

WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. TROUGH FROM 29N160E TO 23N167E 

TO 24N177E TO 30N174W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 30N166E TO 28N170E TO 30N177W. 



.FRONT FROM 30N170W TO 27N179E NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENING. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. 



.TROUGH FROM 13N165E TO 08N160E MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED TSTMS 

WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 13N163E TO 11N160E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA. 



.TROUGH FROM 30N164W TO 25N167W MOVING W SLOWLY. ISOLATED TSTMS 

WITHIN 60 NM OF TROUGH. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 30N166W TO 25N168W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. 



.SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 29N W OF 163E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF A LINE FROM 

28N164E TO 22N160E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW FRONT FROM 30N166E TO 22N163E MOVING ESE 

15 KT. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 240 NM E OF FRONT. 



.RIDGE FROM 30N158W TO 26N161W MOVING NW SLOWLY. 



.OTHERWISE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF AREA. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 11 FT W OF A LINE FROM 30N164E TO 

23N162E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 11 FT W OF A LINE FROM 30N168E TO 

22N165E TO 20N162E. 



.OTHERWISE SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF AREA. 



.SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 170E AND 178E. 



.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N140W TO 13N149W TO 12N158W. ITCZ FROM 

11N169W TO 11N175W TO 09N178E TO 09N171E. SCATTERED MODERATE 

TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 

300 NM S OF ITCZ AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF ITCZ. 



$$ 



.FORECASTER BRAVENDER. HONOLULU HI.

