

819 

FZPN02 KWBC 282325

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

2345 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 28. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 29. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 30. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 40N160E TO 36N166E TO 

30N171E AREA OF E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 300 NM N OF A LINE FROM 33N160E TO 

32N169E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 240 NM N OF A LINE FROM 34N160E TO 

33N164E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.



...GALE WARNING... 

.LOW 52N134W 1003 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN 300 NM E QUADRANT 

WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM S AND 

540 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N138W 1002 MB. WITHIN 240 NM W AND NW 

QUADRANTS...AND 360 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 

FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N134W 1005 MB. WITHIN 360 NM W AND SW 

QUADRANTS...AND 480 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 

FT.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 48N180W 1012 MB MOVING W 10 KT. WITHIN 480 NM E AND NE 

QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS 

DIMINISHED. 



.LOW 39N178W 1012 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. 

SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. NEW LOW TO FORM NEAR 42N179W

1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 49N179W TO 41N172W TO 

32N171W...AND WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 

TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N176W 1000 MB. FROM 32N TO 54N BETWEEN 

161W AND 168W...AND WITHIN 300 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 

KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.



.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 38N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF 

NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 37N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.



.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 43N175E 1007 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW 

SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS N OF 45N W OF 167W AND FROM 47N TO 54N BETWEEN 152W AND 

163W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 54N W OF 172E AND N OF 

44N BETWEEN 168W AND 175E AND FROM 41N TO 55N BETWEEN 164W AND 

170W AND FROM 48N TO 51N BETWEEN 153W AND 159W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 480 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 

56N173E TO 49N175E TO 43N169W.



.HIGH 62N170W 1030 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 48N163E 1024 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 46N158W 1029 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N156W 1027 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 40N154W 1027 MB. 



.HIGH 33N129W 1022 MB MOVING N 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N129W 1024 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N130W 1023 MB.



.FORECASTER NOLT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 28.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 29.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 30.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 17.8N 124.7W 979 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 28

MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT

GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE

QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND

120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM

N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO

12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 24N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 129.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 210 NM NW

QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N

SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO

12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 26N BETWEEN 124W AND 136W

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 134.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO

33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 27N

BETWEEN 130W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN

MIXED SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 139.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.5N 143.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 19.5N 148.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE W OF AREA. FROM 15N TO 20N W OF 138W SE

TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 20N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS TO 8 FT.



.FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 108W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS

TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 109W AND 118W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC SUN AUG 28...



.HURRICANE LESTER...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 16N TO 19N

BETWEEN 123W AND 126W.



.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 16N

BETWEEN 91W AND 101W.



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N89W TO 13N105W TO LOW PRES

NEAR 11N112W TO 14N119W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 

WITHIN

60 NM SW OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 102W...WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE

OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 119W...AND WITHIN 150 NM SW OF A LINE

FROM 11N133W TO 15N135W TO 15N139W.



.FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 28 2016.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 29 2016.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 30 2016.



.WARNINGS. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 16.9N 141.9W 997 MB AT 2100 UTC 

MOVING NW 08 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 

WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW 

QUADRANT...AND 20 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 60 

NM NE...30 NM SE...60 NM SW...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 

TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 19N E OF 

144W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 

140W AND 143W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 18.5N 144.6W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 90 NM NE...40 NM SE...60 NM SW...AND 

90 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN 141W AND 147W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 19.3N 148.2W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 90 NM NE...60 NM SE...70 NM SW AND 

90 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 144W AND 152W. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 19.2N 152.4W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 



EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 



.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 18.5N 156.8W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 17.5N 161.1W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 

AND INTENSITY. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 13N160W 1010 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

14N157W TO 12N151W TO 11N147W...AND FROM LOW TO 10N163W TO 

07N170W. TROUGHS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 

13N TO 16N BETWEEN 156W AND 161W...FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 159W 

AND 170W...AND FROM 08N TO 11N E OF 153W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 14N160W 1011 MB. TROUGHS...LITTLE CHANGE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 15N161W 1012 MB. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

11N149W... AND FROM LOW TO 09N171W. 



.FRONT FROM 30N175W TO 27N178E TO 30N169E NEARLY STATIONARY. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N174W TO 28N180E TO 30N175E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT MOVED N OF FORECAST AREA. 



.FRONT FROM 30N163E TO 28N164E TO 21N160E MOVING E SLOWLY N OF 

25N... AND NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE. E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 

KT OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 169E AND 173E. ISOLATED 

MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N165E TO 28N168E TO 20N164E TO 

17N160E. WINDS EASED TO 20 KT OR LESS OVER FORECAST WATERS. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING FRONT FROM 30N170E TO 20N166E TO 

17N160E. 



.TROUGH FROM 24N167E TO 19N167E TO 16N160E NEARLY STATIONARY. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG TSTMS FROM 14N TO 20N 

BETWEEN 160E AND 171E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING TROUGH FROM 27N171E TO 20N167E TO 

16N164E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MERGED WITH FRONT DISCUSSED IMMEDIATELY 

ABOVE. 



.TROUGH FROM 13N174E TO 10N170E TO 06N169E NEARLY STATIONARY. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS BOUNDED BY 20N179W TO 07N175W TO 03N166E 

TO 05N161E TO 18N174E TO 20N179W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 14N171E TO 10N169E TO 07N168E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAK TROUGH FROM 13N168E TO 08N166E. 



.RIDGE FROM 30N164W TO 22N180E TO 15N170E TO 10N160E NEARLY 

STATIONARY. 



.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



.THE FOLLOWING ARE SEAS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. MADELINE. 



.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF 23N W OF 165E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT N OF 24N W OF 165E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 11 FT N OF 21N W OF 170E. 



.SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



$$ 



.FORECASTER KINEL. HONOLULU HI.

