

852 

FZPN01 KWBC 222213

HSFEP1



HIGH SEAS FORECAST 

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 

2230 UTC MON AUG 22 2016 



SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



SECURITE 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 22. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 23. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 24. 



.WARNINGS. 



...STORM WARNING...

.LOW 61N161W 994 MB MOVING N 05 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 

63N W OF 167W AREA OF N WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. 

ELSEWHERE N OF 59N W OF 166W AREA OF N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 

TO 15 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 62N160W 997 MB. N OF 61N W OF 166W AREA OF 

N WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 63N162W 1005 MB. N OF 60N W OF 167W AREA 

OF N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL INLAND AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.



...GALE WARNING... 

.LOW 56N142W 1012 MB MOVING NE 15 KT WITH SECOND LOW 44N153W 

1015 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM 

EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 60N147W TO 55N139W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. 

SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 

FROM 56N144W TO 43N155W AREA OF S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 

TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOWS DISSIPATED. FROM 41N TO 56N BETWEEN 141W 

AND 153W AND N OF 58N BETWEEN 141W AND 147W AREA OF S TO SE 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 52N TO 57N BETWEEN 145W AND 149W AREA OF 

S WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.



...GALE WARNING...

.24 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 49N160E 

TO 55N170E AREA OF S TO SW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF A LINE FROM 47N160E TO 52N176E TO 

59N180W AREA OF S TO SW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 56N175W 1000 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS 

WITHIN 240 NM NE...180 NM N...360 NM W...AND 420 NM SW 

QUADRANTS...AND FROM 44N TO 50N BETWEEN 175W AND 175E WINDS 20 

TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH CENTER 54N163W 1004 MB. 

WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 60N172W TO 50N177W TO 

42N175W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N167W 1014 MB. WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE 

OF A LINE FROM 49N173W TO 38N176W AND WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE 

OF A LINE FROM 57N171W TO 49N173E N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.



.FROM 48N TO 50N BETWEEN 126W AND 128W AREA OF NW WINDS TO 25 

KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED IMMEDIATELY BELOW. 



.FROM 40N TO 44N BETWEEN 125W AND 128W AREA OF N TO NE WINDS 20 

TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 39N TO 44N BETWEEN 125W AND 129W AREA OF 

N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 39N TO 44N BETWEEN 

124W AND 132W AND FROM 44N TO 54N BETWEEN 127W AND 132W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 



.OVER FORECAST WATERS S OF 34N W OF 175W AREA OF E TO NE WINDS 

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 31N W OF 176W AREA OF E TO NE WINDS LESS 

THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 47N161W 1000 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E AND 

420 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N162W 1014 MB WITH SECOND LOW 36N166W 

1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 31N163W TO 

50N153W AREA OF S TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 56N152W TO 

50N 153W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS FROM 46N TO 51N BETWEEN 172W AND 179W AND W OF A LINE 

FROM 43N160E TO 46N179E TO 52N164E.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 49N TO 55N BETWEEN 144W AND 

149W...FROM 44N TO 48N BETWEEN 157W AND 161W...AND N OF 45N W OF 

169E.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 45N161W TO 

50N161W TO 59N151W TO 55N144W TO 50N144W TO 44N157W TO 

45N161W...AND W OF A LINE FROM 44N160E TO 47N172E TO 52N175E TO 

56N174E.



.HIGH 49N135W 1026 MB MOVING S 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 46N135W 1030 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 49N138W 1036 MB. 



.HIGH 43N138W 1024 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH MERGED WITH HIGH 46N135W. 



.HIGH 41N171E 1028 MB MOVING W 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N168E 1026 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 43N166E 1026 MB. 



.HIGH 33N164W 1018 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 54N175E 1024 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 46N175E 1025 MB. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N128W 1022 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 61N172W 1022 MB.



.FORECASTER FIGURSKEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 22.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 23.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 24.



.WARNINGS.



...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 22.0N 118.0W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 22

MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS

45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE QUADRANT OF

CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30

NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW

AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY NEAR 22.5N 120.6W.

MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10

FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 22.9N

123.6W. WITHIN 90 NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9

FT. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY...DISSIPATED.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.LOW PRES NEAR 10N112W 1008 MB. FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 110W

AND 115W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N115W 1008 MB. FROM 06N TO 10N

BETWEEN 110W AND 117W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N120W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM

SE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

SEAS TO 9 FT.



.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS ALONG 97W FROM 08N TO 15N WITH LOW PRES NEAR

11N97W 1009 MB. FROM 11N TO 14N E OF WAVE AND LOW TO 95W E TO SE 

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE AXIS ALONG 102W WITH LOW PRES

NEAR 11N101W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E OF WAVE AND LOW E TO SE

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N110W 1007 MB. WITHIN 

WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.



.S OF 03S BETWEEN 105W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT

IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 108W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR

LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN

112W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW

SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 



.15 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 87W...INCLUDING THE GULF

OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 10.5N86W

TO 10N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 

10.5N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 

KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 

15N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 

TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.   

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W...

INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.

.39 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING

THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 

TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W

TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20

TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 2145 UTC MON AUG 22...



.TROPICAL STORM KAY...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM

W SEMICIRCLE.



.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR ALONG 97W FROM 08N TO 15N WITH LOW PRES

NEAR 11N97W 1009 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN

180 NM W OF WAVE FROM 09N TO 14N. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180

NM E OF WAVE FROM 12.5N TO 14N.



.LOW PRES NEAR 10N112W 1008 MB...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM

SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT.



.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 16N95W.



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 10NN91W TO 10N100W TO

11N101W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N112W TO 08.5N123W TO 10N132W. ITCZ

FROM 10N132W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG

WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. SCATTERED

MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 104W AND

ALSO WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 121W.



$$



.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

