

931 

FZNT01 KWBC 031621

HSFAT1



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV 

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 

1630 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 



CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOW+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W 



SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 03 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 04 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 05 



.WARNINGS. 



...STORM WARNING... 

.LOW 39N58W 1007 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE 

AND 240 NM E AND SE AND 420 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. 

SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N46W 1001 MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF THE LOW 

CENTER WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 

NM OF LOW EXCEPT WITHIN 540 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. 

SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 

.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N43W 997 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SW 

SEMICIRCLES WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N35W 991 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE 

WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM W 

SEMICIRCLE AND BETWEEN 35W AND A LINE FROM 39N35W TO 35N40W 

WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 42N42W 1013 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA. 



.LOW 53N35W 1009 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 

LESS THAN 8 FT.  

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST E OF AREA 56N33W 1003 MB. WITHIN 300 

NM SW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA NEAR 56N31W 1006 MB. WITHIN 420 

NM NW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 



.LOW 33N76W 1015 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 

LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N71W 1014 MB. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. 

SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 35N66W 1013 MB. WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 

THAN 8 FT.



.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 43N TO 47N W OF 50W AREA OF SW WINDS TO 

25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.



.HIGH 49N54W 1024 MB MOVING S 10 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 44N58W 1022 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH MERGED WITH HIGH 42N51W. 



.HIGH 44N73W 1022 MB MOVING 10 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 43N63W 1022 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N51W 1022 MB. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 41N70W 1022 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.FORECASTER MUSONDA. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND

GULF OF MEXICO



SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 03.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 04.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 05.



.WARNINGS.



...CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM EARL NEAR 16.4N 84.9W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 03

MOVING W OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT

GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE

QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...60

NM S SEMICIRCLE AND AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120

NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER

AREA FROM 13N TO 21N W OF 79W E TO TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EARL NEAR 16.8N 86.6W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW

QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180

NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 60 NM W

SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND

QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90

NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER

AREA FROM 14N TO 21N W OF 82W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8

TO 10 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EARL TO MOVE INLAND NEAR 17.5N

89.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM

FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND

75 NM SE QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE

QUADRANT OF CENTER E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.

ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 21N BETWEEN 82W AND 86W E TO SE WINDS 20

TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 

.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARL INLAND NEAR 18.0N

91.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. CARIBBEAN FROM

17N TO 20N W OF 85W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 22N W OF 83W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS

TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EARL OVER GULF OF MEXICO NEAR

18.5N 93.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL

STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N

SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSWHERE

WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.

SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARL INLAND NEAR 19.0N

97.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 71W AND 79W WINDS KT OR 

LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 71W AND 80W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E AND SE SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 72W AND 82W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 71W AND 78W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E AND SE SWELL.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  



.GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N E OF 93W N TO NE WINDS

20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.42 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N E OF 94W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.   



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



$$

.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

