

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 151923

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0223 PM CDT MON MAY 15 1989



VALID TIME 151900Z - 161200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    31239475 31619721 31360050 31750242 36450315 39180370 

       39360170 37769996 34889578 33459400 32469381 31239475

SLGT   29370283 34380332 37250433 38810471 41310626 42910646 

       42830308 41130068 37659743 36759600 33219280 31189046 

       29989025 28829025 99999999 28429625 28450053 99999999 

       32908003 33958216 35218093 38137845 39187667 39137547

TSTM   32611646 35662063 37362193 38512150 39501978 41951610 

       45701043 46430586 44050160 40859675 39119460 37759215 

       37238956 38058753 41608380 99999999 42088018 42217598 

       40787310 99999999 29850460 33300453 35650515 35610608 

       32111093



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVR PTNS OF SERN CO..SWRN KS...

WRN AND SRN OK...AND A LARGE PART OF NRN AND CNTRL TX.  THE MDT RISK IS

RGT OF LN FM LFK ACT SJT 20 SW MAF CAO LIC GLD DDC MLC TXK SHV LFK.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK IS A SLGT RISK RGT OF A LN FM 60 SSW P07 INKKKK

CVS TAD COS 30 W LAR CPR CDR LBF ICT BVO ELD MCB MSY 80 S MSY...

CONT...20 S PSX 80 W COT.



THERE IS ALSO A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RT OF A LN FM CHS

60 W CAE CLT CHO BWI DOV.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RT OF A LN FM CZZ PRB SJC SAC RNO OWY

LVM MLS PHP LNK MKC TBN CGI EVV TOL...CONT...ERI BGM ISP...

CONT...50 SW MRF ROW LVS SAF TUS.

